"A study released on Tuesday by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Germany and the Center for Demographic Studies in Spain found that "the current violent death toll" in Gaza "likely exceeds 100,000" since the start of the war in October 2023. In fact, the researchers estimate that the total death toll from the war among Palestinians in Gaza is between 99,997 and 125,915, with a median estimate of over 112,000 killed."
"The researchers said that the wide range of death toll estimates is a reflection of "distorted and incomplete data from conflict zones" that make precise estimates difficult. Researcher Irena Chen, who co-led the project, told Turkish publication AA that "we will never know the exact number of dead" and added that "we are only trying to estimate as accurately as possible what a realistic order of magnitude might be.""
"The study also found that the two-year Israeli assault led to a precipitous plunge in life expectancy. According to researcher Ana Gómez-Ugarte, life expectancy in Gaza "fell by 44% in 2023 and by 47% in 2024 compared with what it would have been without the war - equivalent to losses of 34.4 and 36.4 years, respectively.""
The violent death toll in Gaza since October 2023 likely exceeds 100,000, with estimates ranging from 99,997 to 125,915 and a median above 112,000. Media tallies currently list roughly 70,000 fatalities, leaving even the lowest estimate in the new range significantly higher. The wide interval reflects distorted and incomplete data from conflict zones that prevent exact counts. The two‑year Israeli assault produced a sharp decline in life expectancy in Gaza, with life expectancy falling by roughly 44% in 2023 and 47% in 2024 compared with a no‑war scenario, equivalent to losses of about 34.4 and 36.4 years.
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