
A proposed agreement with Iran is criticized for ending U.S. pressure before Iran dismantles its nuclear program. If sanctions and blockade end while nuclear capabilities remain, the remaining leverage would be the threat of renewed war, which is viewed as less credible as political deadlines approach. Iran is described as having a history of prolonging negotiations, using preliminary deals to gain time. Unresolved terms include how long Iran would be banned from enriching uranium. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is expected to reduce oil prices, but reluctance to force reopening is seen as signaling Iranian leverage. Iran is said to insist on controlling any reopening and limiting it to its terms, making sanctions relief without performance conditions risky.
"It could allow the passage of a prewar number of vessels, state media says, but on Iranian terms and under its control. Recall that tanker traffic decreased after Iran had promised a gradual reopening with the April 7 cease-fire. This is reason enough not to give Iran sanctions relief up front. U.S. officials say relief will be tied to performance, and they will need to hold to that to get a decent"
#iran-nuclear-program #us-iran-negotiations #strait-of-hormuz #sanctions-relief #middle-east-security
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