Signing McLaurin to a long-term contract extension carries major risks due to age-related decline in productivity for wide receivers entering their 30s. Historical data shows that performance peaks typically occur between ages 23 and 27, with a notable decline beginning at 28. While McLaurin was invaluable last season, the concern lies in whether he will provide equivalent value in future seasons. Committing significant money to him could restrict the Commanders' future roster flexibility, as contracts are designed to reflect anticipated future production rather than past achievements.
Historical aging curves show that production tends to peak between ages 23 and 27, with sharp declines beginning around 28. It’s more probable that McLaurin will regress from last year's highs.
McLaurin deserves respect and reward for what he's already done, but NFL contracts aren't about the past; they're about paying for future production.
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