Can the Commanders match last season? It might depend on luck.
Briefly

The Washington Commanders are seen as an improving team with a strong organizational structure and promising talent, particularly at quarterback. However, analysts caution that replicating last season's impressive 12-win record may prove challenging. Many sportsbooks estimate their win total around 9.5, influenced by an increasingly competitive schedule. A significant factor are the team's past luck metrics; for instance, they thrived in close games with a 9-4 record, bolstered by fortunate events tracked in Tom Bliss's "luck dashboard," signaling that their 2024 performance may regress without the same favorable breaks.
The Commanders enjoyed significant good fortune in the 2024 season, benefiting from actions often dictated by luck rather than skill, highlighted by a unique "luck dashboard."
Washington's record in one-score games was stellar, with a 9-4 finish, showcasing a winning percentage that placed them sixth in the league, largely due to fortunate circumstances.
Read at The Washington Post
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