Will the new Middle East crisis rock the world economy? The markets say no but I fear they're wrong | Larry Elliott
Briefly

Donald Trump's abrupt exit from the G7 summit raises concerns about U.S. involvement in military action against Iran. His call for Iran's unconditional surrender echoes plans for potential collaboration with Israel. Historically, Middle Eastern conflicts have led to severe economic impacts through skyrocketing oil prices, notably during the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s. However, current reactions in the financial markets are relatively subdued, with only modest increases in oil prices. This suggests that economies today are better positioned to absorb shocks due to decreased oil dependency and emerging renewable energy alternatives.
The early return of Trump from the G7 summit signals a potential U.S. military alliance with Israel against Iran, focusing on demanding Iran's unconditional surrender.
While historical conflicts in the Middle East lead to significant oil price fluctuations, today's market is responding with less urgency than in past crises.
Despite escalating tensions, current oil price rises are moderate, suggesting that the global economy may withstand potential shocks better than in previous decades.
The reduced dependence on imported oil and the rise of renewable energy sources contribute to a more resilient global economic response to Middle Eastern conflicts.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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