"If you go back a long way, the sitting president, whether it's Democrat or Republican, always loses the midterm, even if they've done well. Almost always. And, you know, you'd think it'd be like a 50/50 deal. Even if the president's done a great job. I think we've done a great job. We've done maybe the best job ever in the first year, but they always seem to lose the midterm."
"There's something down, deep psychologically with the voters, that they want maybe a check or something? I don't know what it is exactly, but you would think when you have a victory and then on top of the victory you have a great, successful presidency would be an automatic win, but it's never been a win. I mean, almost never been. You said two times or three times in a hundred years, it's right around that number."
Donald Trump acknowledged a long-standing historical pattern in which sitting presidents typically lose midterm elections, even after strong first-year performance. Historical exceptions are rare, with only a few instances of the governing party retaining control during midterms across the last century and 150 years. Trump described voters as seeking a check on power and called the trend puzzling and undefined. He listed policy achievements including a “Great Big Beautiful Bill,” broad tax cuts, removal of taxes on tips, Social Security and overtime, and vehicle purchase deductions, and said international respect has been restored. Some Republican allies expressed less optimism about midterm prospects.
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