Democrats lost a consequential 2024 election and face political fallout linked to excesses of Donald Trump's second term. Democrats are analyzing mistakes and weighing recovery strategies. Republicans portray the 2024 victory as a permanent realignment and anticipate repeated electoral success. Some mainstream journalists emphasize selective data to depict sustained Democratic calamity. Short-term voter-registration trends from 30 states that allow party registration show declines for the Democratic Party and are often described in lurid terms such as "hemorrhaging" and a "stampede away from." Those trends exclude 20 states and largely omit unaffiliated new registrants.
Republicans, led by their perpetually self-aggrandizing leader, have spent a lot of time inflating their 2024 win into a landslide of world-historical proportions. They suggest it represented a permanent realignment of the major parties, and now the GOP can be expected to romp to victory after victory. They've been unwittingly assisted in this effort by some mainstream-media journalists who seem determined to find data showing calamities without end for the Democratic Party.
Now the New York Times' Shane Goldmacher has penned an article parlaying short-term voter-registration trends into a desperate crisis for Democrats. His language is remarkably lurid. Democrats are "hemorrhaging" voters, who are in a "stampede away from" the party. And "Democrats are divided and flummoxed over what to do." The sources he cites seem equally sure they've seen the future in a few years of limited data:
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