In a recent Fox News interview, President Trump discussed his policy changes, raising concerns among some analysts about a potential recession. However, despite the buzz on social media, current recession indicators, including the bond market's performance, do not suggest an immediate economic downturn. While Trump aims for lower mortgage rates, some remember the stock market's volatility during his first term. Despite historical precedent, current data reveals that yields in the bond market are not anticipating a recession, indicating a complex economic landscape ahead rather than an impending crisis.
Trump's policies are causing a stir in the market, reminiscent of his first term, but currently, indicators do not suggest an imminent recession despite some concerns.
The bond market isn’t signaling a recession yet. Recent yields reflect a dynamic pattern, and unless the 10-year yield drops significantly, economic weakness is not expected.
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