"President Trump is more than holding his own amongst a very large portion of the electorate, a very reliable voting bloc, and that is senior citizens. Trump's approval rating among senior citizens in March of 2025 was 46%. It has since only moved to 44%."
"The key nugget here is for all this talk about young people... it turns out that older voters, senior citizens vote in far larger numbers. So Republicans look at this number and they say, hey, you know what, we can actually potentially do some real damage or at least hold our own in the midterms."
"Democrats still have an edge, with aggregate polling showing them with a three point advantage over Republicans in the midterms. This could cost Republicans the House, but a number like this suggests to me that Republicans very, very well and are likely to hold the Senate."
Trump's approval rating has dropped to 38%, particularly losing support among independents. However, his steady backing from voters aged 65 and older, a key voting bloc, may help Republicans in the midterms. Trump's approval among seniors is 44%, higher than Obama and Bush. While Democrats have a slight polling advantage, it may not be sufficient to secure both the House and Senate. Republicans could potentially maintain control of the Senate due to strong support from senior citizens.
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