"Newsom is bidding for the White House, and has been doing so for the better part of a year, though he won't say so out loud. Is Newsom the Democratic front-runner or a mere flash in the pan? Times columnists Anita Chabria and Mark Z. Barabak disagree on Newsom's presidential prospects, and more. Here the two hash out some of their differences."
"Barabak: So is the presidential race over, Anita? Should I just spend the next few years backpacking and snowboarding in the Sierra and return in January 2029 to watch Newsom iterate, meet the moment and, with intentionality, be sworn in as our nation's 48th president? Chabria: You should definitely spend as much time in the Sierra as possible, but I have no idea if Newsom will be elected president in 2028 or not."
"And in a recent (albeit small) poll, in a hypothetical race against JD Vance, the current Republican favorite, Newsom lead by three points. Though, unexpectedly, respondents still picked Kamala Harris as their choice for the nomination. To me, that shows he's popular across the country. But you've warned that Californians have a tough time pulling voters in other states. Do you think his Golden State roots will kill"
Speculation about the 2028 presidential election has intensified more than 1,000 days before voting. California Gov. Gavin Newsom, fresh from a Proposition 50 victory that reshaped the state's congressional map, is presented as a potential 2028 contender and a national Democratic figure. Newsom has cultivated contrast with Donald Trump, attended an international climate summit in Brazil that Trump skipped, and performed well in a small hypothetical poll against JD Vance. Polling also showed lingering support for Kamala Harris for the nomination. Observers remain divided on whether Newsom's California roots will limit his appeal outside the state.
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