The Intelligence Behind the Strike: Was Everyone Wrong About Iran's Nuclear Program?
Briefly

On June 13, 2025, Israel executed a military operation against Iran aimed at terminating its alleged nuclear weapons advancements. Prime Minister Netanyahu claimed urgent action was necessary to prevent Iran from developing a bomb swiftly. However, this assertion contradicts longstanding views from the U.S. intelligence community, which maintained that Iran had not made the decision to pursue nuclear arms. The ramifications of this discrepancy raise concerns about potential politicization of intelligence, paralleling issues seen before the 2003 Iraq invasion. The operation involved significant airstrikes on strategic targets across Iran, facilitated by covert intelligence methods.
If Netanyahu's claim, echoed by Donald Trump, is accurate then Israel and the USIC must have obtained game-changing intelligence that eluded every major intelligence agency to date.
The justification for the strike raises the troubling prospect of a politicization of intelligence on a scale not seen since the lead-up to the 2003 Iraq invasion.
Operation Rising Lion saw over 200 Israeli warplanes carrying out a coordinated attack on approximately 100 sites, targeting critical nuclear and military infrastructure in Iran.
The operation relied heavily on clandestine intelligence operations developed over weeks, showcasing a significant collaborative effort behind Israel's military action.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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