During Donald Trump's presidency, a notable shift in birth rates emerged tied to political polarization. Research conducted by economist Gordon Dahl highlighted that after Trump's election, conception rates dropped significantly in Democratic counties, with 38,000 fewer births expected, while Republican counties saw an increase of 7,000. This trend expanded the existing gap in fertility rates between party affiliations, underscoring how political sentiments may influence personal decisions about having children. The ideological divide appears to have exacerbated the relationship between politics and familial choices.
Starting after Trump's election, through the end of 2018, 38,000 fewer babies than would otherwise be expected were conceived in Democratic counties. By contrast, 7,000 more than expected were conceived in Republican counties.
You see a clear and undeniable shift in who's having babies. Over the past three decades, Republicans have generally given birth to more kids than Democrats have.
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