Odds of a Trump Victory Soar Past 60% on Betting Markets - What are Pollsters Missing?
Briefly

from 24/7 Wall St.4 months ago
As of October 25th, Donald Trump is now solidly leading Kamala Harris in most prediction markets. Interactive Brokers launched Election Forecast Contracts on October 7th.
24/7 Wall St.https://247wallst.com/economy/2024/10/25/odds-of-a-trump-victory-soar-past-60-on-betting-markets-what-are-pollsters-missing/
Turning to cryptocurrency betting markets, Donald Trump continues to see more of a lead. Here are the latest odds found on Polymarket: Donald Trump: 65.3% Odds to Win; Kamala Harris: 34.6% Odds to Win.
24/7 Wall St.https://247wallst.com/economy/2024/10/25/odds-of-a-trump-victory-soar-past-60-on-betting-markets-what-are-pollsters-missing/
Yet, there is a widespread belief that odds for Trump have been driven higher on Polymarket by one 'whale' buying enormous amounts of Trump bets.
24/7 Wall St.https://247wallst.com/economy/2024/10/25/odds-of-a-trump-victory-soar-past-60-on-betting-markets-what-are-pollsters-missing/
A wallet moved $3,000,000 to Polymarket today and put it all immediately on 'YES' for Trump. His only issue: he cleared the whole order book and bought.
24/7 Wall St.https://247wallst.com/economy/2024/10/25/odds-of-a-trump-victory-soar-past-60-on-betting-markets-what-are-pollsters-missing/
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
#us-presidential-election #prediction-markets #donald-trump #kamala-harris #betting-odds
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