Silver emphasizes that his model shows Trump with a 63.8% chance of winning the Electoral College, with projections indicating a possible landslide victory.
Reflecting on the New York Times/Siena College poll, Silver notes how it significantly impacts his model, showing Trump leading with a narrow margin of just 1%.
Despite predictions favoring Trump in the Electoral College, the competition remains tight in the popular vote, where Harris holds a 56% chance compared to Trump's 44%.
Silver's model predicts Trump winning 312 electoral votes versus Harris's 226, which marks a significant change from previous forecasts that had a more competitive outlook.
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