Mr. Trump posted a graphic claiming a 64 percent chance of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris, portraying a brighter outlook than actual polls show.
The odds promoting Trump's success stem from Polymarket, a crypto-powered gambling site where over $100 million has been wagered, influencing his narrative of victory.
Despite Polymarket's initial odds favoring Trump, an analysis revealed that four accounts, controlled by one individual, skewed the betting and created an illusion of support.
Elon Musk endorsed Polymarket's odds as more indicative than traditional polls, suggesting that financial stakes can yield more reliable predictions.
Collection
[
|
...
]