Kamala Harris is leading in most national polls largely due to strong support among white, college-educated voters, despite weaker performance among black and Latino voters.
While Harris shows promising leads among blacks and Hispanics in polls, these margins are below historical Democratic support levels, indicating a fragile lead.
Despite Trump's gains among minority voters, he's losing ground among white voters, resulting in competitive dynamics yet reminiscent of the 2020 election, complicating the race for both candidates.
Polling data suggests that while Harris leads overall, the demographics driving that lead point to a narrower path to victory than might initially appear.
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