Two-thirds of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance, while 30% approve. Disapproval is a majority across all regions tested, including 51% in Florida. Among Latino voters who supported Trump in 2024, 25% say they probably or certainly would not vote for him again. On the 2026 House ballot, Latino voters prefer the Democratic candidate 54% to 27%, with 19% undecided. Latino voters are described as highly swingable due to economic anxiety and immigration concerns. In Texas, Latino disapproval reaches 67% and Democrats lead the generic House ballot 54% to 28%. In California, Latino disapproval is 71% and Democrats lead 59% to 22%. In Arizona, disapproval is 67% and Democrats lead 53% to 25%.
"Two-thirds of Latino voters disapprove of Trump's job performance, compared with 30% who approve. Disapproval is a majority in every region tested, including 51% in Florida. 25% of Latino Trump 2024 voters say they probably or certainly would not vote for him again. That compares with 5% of Harris 2024 voters who say they would not vote for her again."
"On the 2026 House ballot, Latino voters back the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate 54%-27%, with 19% undecided. Latino voters are emerging as "the swingiest of the swing voters" ahead of the midterms, with economic anxiety and immigration concerns making them highly fluid in competitive districts."
"In Texas, where significant rightward shifts occurred in 2024, Trump's disapproval has skyrocketed to 67% among Latinos, and Democrats have opened a massive 54% to 28% generic House ballot lead. In California, Latino disapproval of Trump stands at 71%, paving the way for a 59% to 22% Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. In Arizona, Trump faces a 67% disapproval rating, with Democrats leading the generic House ballot 53% to 25%."
"The GOP had hoped Trump's 2024 Latino gains represented a lasting realignment. Democrats see inflation, tariffs and aggressive immigration enforcement reopening Latino-heavy seats they feared were lost. Zoom out: Voter dissatisfaction extends into deep anxieties regarding governance, military stability and civil rights."
Read at Axios
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