J. Ann Selzer, the respected Iowa pollster, announced her retirement from election polling after a surprising last poll, which inaccurately depicted a lead for Kamala Harris over Trump.
Despite having an outstanding track record, Selzer’s last poll showing Harris ahead of Trump was contrary to nearly all other polls, which forecasted Trump leading by a significant margin.
In her farewell announcement, Selzer reflected on her time as a pollster, acknowledging that polling is ultimately a science of estimation that can periodically lead to humbling results.
Throughout her career, Selzer made headlines with her outlier predictions, notably when she accurately forecasted Obama's caucus win in 2008 and Trump’s Iowa success in 2020.
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