NASA has updated its assessment of the asteroid 2024 YR4, now stating it has a negligible chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, which is one in 26,000. This translates to a 99.9961% likelihood of the asteroid safely passing by. Previously designated as a major risk, at one point its impact probability peaked at 3.1%. Given this new information, its Torino Scale rating has been reduced from three to zero, indicating it is no longer a threat. This update alleviates the concerns of global planetary defense organizations.
NASA has given a major update on the asteroid 2024 YR4, revealing it now has a tiny chance of hitting Earth in 2032—improving from earlier fears.
With the current odds now standing at one in 26,000, there is a 99.9961% chance that 2024 YR4 will pass harmlessly by Earth.
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