The Met Office warns of increasing risk of extreme heat in the UK, with a 50% chance of exceeding 40C temperatures within 12 years. Past extremes, including the unprecedented 40.3C in Coningsby in July 2022, have led to significant incidents and disruptions, with fire brigades overwhelmed by wildfires. Climate change analysis indicates that such temperatures are becoming far more likely, being 20 times more probable than in the 1960s. Experts expect this trend of rising temperatures to continue, emphasizing the urgent need for preparedness and adaptation.
We estimate a 50:50 chance of seeing a 40C day again in the next 12 years. We also found that temperatures several degrees higher than we saw in July 2022 are possible in today's climate.
Major incidents were announced by fire brigades in London, Leicestershire and South Yorkshire as dozens of fires broke out, disrupting transport and power systems.
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