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"Inflation is expected to fall back to its lowest level for nearly a year in Wednesday's official figures for January in a boost to interest rate cut hopes. Most economists, including Pantheon Macroeconomics, forecast Office for National Statistics (ONS) data will reveal Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation fell back sharply to 3% in January, down from 3.4% in December. This would mark the lowest rate since March 2025."
"These figures are likely to reinforce expectations of another interest rate cut, possibly as soon as next month. Disappointing growth figures for the final quarter of last year have added to forecasts for a rate cut in March, to 3.5% from 3.75% currently. The ONS said gross domestic product (GDP) eked a meagre growth of 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025, leaving the out-turn for the year as a whole at a worse-than-expected 1.3% expansion."
A news outlet covers reproductive rights, climate change and Big Tech and requests donations to fund on-the-ground journalism without paywalls. Donations are used to send reporters to gather perspectives from across the political spectrum. Economists, including Pantheon Macroeconomics, forecast Office for National Statistics data will show CPI inflation fell to 3% in January from 3.4% in December, the lowest since March 2025. The decline is attributed to lower airfares, food and energy price inflation. The data and weak GDP growth of 0.1% in Q4 2025 and 1.3% annual expansion increase expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut.
Read at www.independent.co.uk
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