
"Despite currently sitting top, City are only second-favourites to win the title with the Opta supercomputer rating their chances at 25.6%, behind Chelsea's 70%. United, meanwhile, only top the pile in 2.1% of season simulations. Here, using Opta insights, we look ahead to this weekend's Manchester derby. What's expected? Historically, this fixture has often favoured City, but United have been making strides in recent seasons and put in strong showings against their cross-city rivals in 2024-25."
"City won four and lost none of their first five WSL home meetings with rivals United (D1). However, they were beaten 4-2 at the Etihad in this exact fixture last season. However, in saying that, only Arsenal and Chelsea (both 1.5) average more points per game against City in the WSL than United (0.9, 10 in 11 games). And having also drawn with City at Old Trafford at the end of last season,"
Manchester City became WSL leaders after a 2-1 win over Everton and benefited from Chelsea dropping points. Manchester United lost 1-0 to Aston Villa, ending their unbeaten league start, but recovered with a 2-1 Champions League victory over Paris Saint-Germain at Old Trafford. Anything less than a win is undesirable for either club's title hopes, and both will target victory and local bragging rights at the Etihad. Opta simulations rate Chelsea 70% favourites, City 25.6% and United 2.1% to win the league. Historically the fixture favours City, but United have improved in 2024-25.
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