"Housing inventory is expected to set a seasonal low sometime early in 2026, hopefully sooner rather than later. We don't want what happened in 2023, when the seasonal bottom came in April. We would want the seasonal bottom to happen in February: more supply means less price growth and better affordability. However, since mid-June, the inventory growth has slowed significantly, and mortgage rates are at 3-year lows."
"When mortgage rates fall below 6.64% and head toward 6%, housing demand improves. In 2026, we should see lower rates for longer versus previous years, which can keep a lid on inventory growth in 2026. Weekly inventory change: (Jan. 3-Jan. 10): Inventory fell from 720,102 to 686,784 Same week last year: (Jan. 4 -Jan 11 ): Inventory fell from 635,384 to 624,375"
Housing inventory is expected to reach a seasonal low early in 2026, with a preferred February bottom to increase supply, reduce price growth, and improve affordability. Inventory growth slowed since mid‑June while mortgage rates sit at three‑year lows. When mortgage rates fall below 6.64% toward 6%, housing demand strengthens; lower-for-longer rates in 2026 could keep inventory growth subdued. Weekly inventory fell from 720,102 to 686,784 (Jan 3–10) versus 635,384 to 624,375 in the same week last year. Last week's new listings totaled 39,007 in 2026 versus 44,639 in 2025. HousingWire forecasts a −0.62% nominal national price decline for 2026.
Read at www.housingwire.com
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