The CDC reported a small decline in U.S. birthrate for 2023 to 1.62. Over the last three decades, fertility has decreased by 22%, with the most significant drop occurring post-2007, just before the Great Recession. While teenage births have dramatically declined, births among women over 30, especially those over 40, are increasing. Demographer Jennifer Sciubba anticipates the birthrate will stabilize between 1.55 and 1.7 in the coming decade, raising concerns about economic implications without immediate alarm, unlike more drastic declines seen in countries like South Korea.
Sciubba notes that fertility in the U.S. has declined significantly since 1990, specifically citing a 22% decrease, with a notable drop beginning around 2007.
The birthrate for teenagers has seen the largest decline, while women over 30, particularly those over 40, are experiencing a rise in births, indicating shifting societal norms.
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