In December 2023, astronomers identified asteroid 2024 YR24, a 40 to 100-meter object, which made a close approach to Earth. After monitoring its trajectory, NASA's Sentry service determined a 1.3% chance of YR24 hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, later updated to 1.6%. This level of risk, corresponding to a Torino scale rating of 3, is the highest recorded for any asteroid post-Apophis. Despite these numbers, scientists like Davide Farnocchia emphasize a 99% likelihood of YR24 missing Earth, indicating a stable status but necessitating continuous observation.
"The asteroid 2024 YR24 has a 1.3% chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, a significant risk that warrants close monitoring and analysis."
"NASA's Sentry service has upped the impact risk to 1.6%, but the probability of miss remains high at 99%."
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