NASA and global scientists are monitoring near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4, which has recently seen an increase in its impact probability, now at 1.3%. Despite concerns, this asteroid, while potentially damaging at a local level, is not expected to pose a global threat. Advances in observation, particularly with the James Webb Space Telescope, aim to provide clearer data on its size and trajectory. Although the chance of it striking the Moon is low, the planetary community is vigilant due to the implications of its size on potential Earth impact.
The chance of impact is very slim, and the asteroid is small enough that the effects of any potential impact would be on a local scale.
Getting a better idea of the size, in particular, could prove vital, as the hazard represented by a 40-meter asteroid is very different from that of a 90-meter asteroid.
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