The asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered late last year, now has a 3.2% chance of striking Earth in 2032, an increase from a previous estimate of 1.9%. While this likelihood is not extremely high, it remains a concern due to the potential for localized devastation reminiscent of the Tunguska event in 1908. As astronomers reduce the uncertainty of the asteroid’s orbit through ongoing observations, the odds of a collision with Earth have risen, underscoring the need for continued monitoring and research on this celestial body.
The impact odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 have increased from 1.9 percent to 3.2 percent as more observations refine our understanding of its trajectory.
The asteroid, though not guaranteed to strike Earth, could cause significant devastation similar to the Tunguska event if it does collide.
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