"Although John Murray, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, is monitoring the potential for half an inch of rain on Friday and some light snow Saturday, he believes Sunday's storm could yield the greatest impact. The "potentially strong" coastal storm is expected to develop offshore Sunday night into Monday, but great uncertainty remains over just how impactful this storm will be."
"As of Thursday morning, some model solutions show the nor'easter tracking farther south and east of the city, resulting in no snow. Meanwhile, there are other solutions which show a "typical nor'easter track" in which the city receives "a significant amount of snow" - potentially 6 inches or more. "It looks potentially that there is a possibility that we could have some significant, impactful snowfall and gusty winds as well for Sunday," Murray told the Advance/SILive.com."
""Right now, we think the most likely outcome for the New York City area is sort of a general 1 to 3 inches of snow. And that would fall - it could start falling during the day on Sunday and then continue into Sunday night and Monday morning before it wraps up," he said. "Best chance for accumulation may be Sunday evening and Sunday night when it gets a little bit colder.""
Forecasts show a potential coastal nor'easter developing offshore Sunday night into Monday, with large uncertainty in its track and impacts. Models range from a south/east track producing no snow for New York City to a typical nor'easter track yielding six inches or more. Current guidance most likely centers around 1 to 3 inches of snow for the NYC area, with the best chance for accumulation Sunday evening into Sunday night as temperatures fall. Rain up to half an inch may occur Friday with light snow Saturday. Temperatures are expected near seasonal averages, highs in the upper 30s and lows around 32°F.
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