"Bowen and Seth Walder bring different perspectives to how they approach sports betting. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere."
"Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. With that, let's dive into Week 7. As always, odds are from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Note: Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available. Jump to:Game bets | Defensive props | Offensive props Game bets Carolina Panthers-New York Jets total points UNDER 41.5 (-105) Tough to bet on the Jets offense at this point."
Value is identified wherever it appears, with weekly betting picks aiming to find plus-expected value across spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive player props. Matt Bowen fills in for the week and combines tape-study quarterback and matchup insights with Seth Walder's statistical-model approach to identify positive matchups and wagers. Results are tracked using flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet and odds are taken from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Defensive prop bets will be added as available. The Week 7 game bet recommends the Carolina Panthers–New York Jets total UNDER 41.5, citing a bottom-10 Jets scoring offense and limited passing from Justin Fields, along with a Panthers defense that ranks ninth overall.
Read at ESPN.com
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