"Ben Solak is out this week, so Matt Bowen is filling in with his own unique style. Bowen and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. A former NFL safety, Bowen predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets."
"Chicago Bears to cover +1.5 (-125) at Las Vegas Raiders We are seeing development from quarterback Caleb Williams under coach Ben Johnson. More timing and rhythm as a thrower, a growing sense of calm in the pocket. That's coaching. And Williams can distribute the ball to multiple targets, with Rome Odunze (16 receptions, 227 yards, 4 TDs) emerging as his No.1."
Two bettors use complementary methods to find betting value: film-based scouting and quantitative modeling. A former NFL safety uses tape study and positional insight to identify positive matchups and game winners. A quantitative analyst uses statistical models to identify plus-expected-value bets. Weekly selections include spreads, money lines, totals and defensive player props. Results are tracked with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. Odds are sourced from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Week 4 includes a recommendation for the Chicago Bears to cover +1.5 at the Las Vegas Raiders, citing development from quarterback Caleb Williams and Rome Odunze's emerging role.
Read at ESPN.com
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