"Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league."
"Solak: The quietest storyline of December is the improvement of the Bengals' defense. Since Week 10, the Bengals' defense is 11th in success rate and 16th in EPA per play -- totally average! It is still surrendering a preposterous number of explosive plays, which is the only way the Browns' offense can succeed. But without rookie TE Harold Fannin Jr., who is unlikely to go with the groin injury he reaggravated in Week 18, it will be difficult for the Browns to find those explosives."
Ben Solak, Seth Walder, and Matt Bowen offer distinct approaches to identifying sports-betting value. Solak emphasizes player evaluation and Xs-and-Os to uncover edges. Walder relies on statistical models to surface plus-expected-value bets. Bowen leverages tape study and his experience as a former NFL safety to predict favorable matchups and game winners. Picks will include spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive player props when available. Results will be tracked throughout the season using flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. Week 18 selections include Chicago to cover vs. Detroit and Cincinnati favored over Cleveland.
Read at ESPN.com
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