Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, expressed during an interview that artificial general intelligence (AGI) might be achieved earlier than most anticipate, yet its impact may be less significant than expected. He emphasized that AGI's development could lead to a gradual evolution toward superintelligence rather than an immediate societal overhaul, stating that initial economic disruption would take longer due to existing societal inertia.
Altman pointed out that while OpenAI used to strive for a grander vision of AGI capable of 'automating the great majority of intellectual labor', the current perspective has shifted. The newly adopted definition seems to emphasize a more practical view and is less extravagant compared to earlier expectations. Altman's remarks suggest that while AGI may be defining a new phase, it may not necessarily revolutionize society instantaneously as previously thought.
As OpenAI gears up for potential AGI deployment, Altman hinted that significant changes in the economy may not emerge immediately after its introduction. Instead, he believes that initial conditions will remain stable, but the longer-term effects may be far-reaching. He noted, 'In the first couple of years, maybe not that much changes. And then maybe a lot changes.' This comment highlights a cautious optimism about AGI's impending arrival.
Furthermore, Altman has noted a distinction in terminology where what was once referred to as AGI is now more accurately described as 'superintelligence'. This change in nomenclature might reflect a strategic position for OpenAI, particularly in regards to its complex partnership with Microsoft and the immense financial implications tied to the success and definition of AGI.
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