Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were always a form of popular entertainment with a checkered record of accuracy
Briefly

Election polls have maintained their popularity and influence despite a history of inaccuracies. They play a crucial role in shaping narratives during presidential campaigns.
Polls often highlight which candidates are leading or lagging, creating a competitive narrative akin to a 'horse race', which adds to their entertainment value.
The evolution of polling terminology, such as 'horse race', illustrates how the public perceives polls as more about competition than accuracy, overshadowing their intended purpose.
Despite their checkered history, election polls remain a significant source of information and entertainment for journalists and the general public, affecting perceptions of the political landscape.
Read at Fortune
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