"While polls in 2016 accurately forecasted Hillary Clinton’s popular support, they failed to predict Trump’s surprise wins in key Rust Belt states, highlighting systemic polling inaccuracies."
"In reviewing battleground states, Wisconsin emerged as the most pronounced example of polling error, with a consistent 7 percent miscalculation in favor of Democrats during both 2016 and 2020."
"Pollsters have recognized past inaccuracies, particularly among Trump voters, and are actively trying to enhance methodologies to mitigate these errors ahead of the 2024 elections."
"Michigan followed closely behind Wisconsin in polling discrepancies, with significant overestimations of Democratic support in both elections, emphasizing the need for improved forecasting in these pivotal states."
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