Reports suggest Biden believes exiting the 2024 race was a mistake, causing sadness in Harris, yet data implies his candidacy would not have won him the election.
Philip Bump of the Washington Post highlights a YouGov survey indicating Harris would have significantly outperformed Biden against Trump, refuting Biden's claims of victory had he stayed.
Biden's decision to step down is viewed as mistaken largely because it was made too late, as data suggests he would have lost to Trump.
Post-election analysis indicates Biden's record brought negative perceptions leading to Trump's surge, suggesting Harris's candidacy was not the determining factor for Biden's exit.
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