...Political betting markets like PredictIt and Polymarket have been around...In 2020, betting markets broke for Biden and, of course, turned out to be right. This cycle, it is very different. On the question of whether Biden will drop out, the chances more than doubled - from less than one in five odds to about 50 percent in the space of three hours, according to PolyMarket...
...Shares of Trump's media company - which pundits insist on being a proxy of his odds, even though this is untethered from reality - jumped about 10 percent before the market opened, only to fall lower in market trading...
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