As the baseball season begins, fans grapple between hopeful dreams and realistic expectations. The author encourages optimism, citing examples like last year's Kansas City Royals, who defied predictions after a poor season. Analysis reveals that many successful teams often come from previous non-playoff contenders; recent statistics show a significant turnover in postseason teams. The article underscores that now is the time for teams to aspire for unexpected successes, using historical analogues to predict potential playoff breakthroughs.
The gap between the naivete of youth and the realism of experience plays out over 162 games. It's OK to dream big about breakthroughs.
In 15 of the last 19 years, half of baseball's postseason teams had not qualified the prior year, illustrating the unpredictability of the season.
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