
"The GFS model shows a more aggressive scenario, suggesting a longer-lasting storm with the potential for 12 to 16 of snow in parts of the region. The NAM (North American Model) also brings snow Sunday night into Monday, but keeps the heaviest bands more limited, with less impact north into the Hudson Valley and parts of northern New Jersey. Other guidance, including the Baron model, keeps the storm farther offshore, which would significantly reduce snowfall totals in the New York City area."
"According to the FOX Forecast Center, the storm is expected to move offshore Sunday and strengthen into a powerful coastal system. However, several factors must align for a high-impact snowstorm, including a precise track along the Northeast coast and sufficient cold air in place. "Even a 50-100 mile jog east or west with the storm will result in less or more snow for millions," the FOX Fore"
A developing coastal storm could produce accumulating snow across the Tri-State area Sunday night into Monday morning. Some forecast guidance suggests the New York City area could see around a foot of snow, while the GFS indicates 12–16 inches in parts of the region. The NAM confines the heaviest bands, reducing impacts farther north into the Hudson Valley and northern New Jersey. Other models keep the system offshore, lowering local totals. Southern and central New Jersey, especially along the Jersey Shore, currently show the highest potential snow totals, and the Monday morning commute could be messy if snow develops.
Read at FOX 5 New York
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