How elections forecasters became political prophets'
Briefly

"Before there was a FiveThirtyEight model, or a New York Times election night needle, there was an economist named Louis Bean, who predicted Truman's 1948 victory contrary to popular belief."
"People I think are looking for oracles, right? They're looking for people that seem to have some magic formula or have some almost supernatural ability to predict the outcomes."
Read at www.mercurynews.com
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