Exit poll suggests Labour landslide in 2024 general electionThe 2024 general election exit poll suggests a potential landslide victory for Labour.
After months of dysfunction and miscommunication, is the Starmer method finally working? | Rafael BehrRishi Sunak could have avoided his downfall by remaining in power; Starmer's government is under different dynamics with more stability despite challenges.
Exit poll suggests Labour landslide in 2024 general electionThe 2024 general election exit poll suggests a potential landslide victory for Labour.
After months of dysfunction and miscommunication, is the Starmer method finally working? | Rafael BehrRishi Sunak could have avoided his downfall by remaining in power; Starmer's government is under different dynamics with more stability despite challenges.
Prediction markets post-Biden: Trump's chances down slightly, but Harris' odds jump to 40%Prediction markets favor Trump post-Biden withdrawal.Polymarket proves as reliable forecaster of political events.Significant prediction swings related to Harris stepping into the spotlight.
The Giant Asterisk on Election BettingElection betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.
Here are Polymarket's top 4 picks for Harris VP-and where they stand on cryptoPolymarket predicts VP Harris running mate with strong track record.
Don't Bet on the Financial Scam of Easily Manipulated Political Prediction MarketsPrediction markets are unreliable indicators for political forecasting due to thin trading volume and speculative motivations.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan says he founded the popular prediction market from his bathroomPrediction markets like Polymarket are reshaping political forecasting by allowing users to wager significant amounts on election outcomes, potentially surpassing traditional polls.
Prediction markets post-Biden: Trump's chances down slightly, but Harris' odds jump to 40%Prediction markets favor Trump post-Biden withdrawal.Polymarket proves as reliable forecaster of political events.Significant prediction swings related to Harris stepping into the spotlight.
The Giant Asterisk on Election BettingElection betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.
Here are Polymarket's top 4 picks for Harris VP-and where they stand on cryptoPolymarket predicts VP Harris running mate with strong track record.
Don't Bet on the Financial Scam of Easily Manipulated Political Prediction MarketsPrediction markets are unreliable indicators for political forecasting due to thin trading volume and speculative motivations.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan says he founded the popular prediction market from his bathroomPrediction markets like Polymarket are reshaping political forecasting by allowing users to wager significant amounts on election outcomes, potentially surpassing traditional polls.
The Man Who's Sure That Harris Will WinAllan Lichtman uses his historical model of 13 keys to forecast election outcomes, claiming elections are a referendum on the incumbent party's performance.
How elections forecasters became political prophets'Predictive models and intuition in elections date back to Louis Bean's 1948 Truman prediction, indicating a long-standing public desire for certainty in election outcomes.
Election forecasting topic of eCornell keynote address | Cornell ChroniclePolitical forecasting combines data collection and interpretation; it's complex but insightful for understanding electoral trends and potential outcomes.Enns predicted 49 out of 50 states accurately for the 2020 election, showcasing his expertise in political dynamics.
eCornell keynote explores art, science of election forecasting | Cornell ChroniclePolitical forecasting relies on sophisticated models analyzing diverse factors, not just data collection.Peter Enns' upcoming keynote will provide insights into the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Election forecasting topic of eCornell keynote address | Cornell ChroniclePolitical forecasting combines data collection and interpretation; it's complex but insightful for understanding electoral trends and potential outcomes.Enns predicted 49 out of 50 states accurately for the 2020 election, showcasing his expertise in political dynamics.
eCornell keynote explores art, science of election forecasting | Cornell ChroniclePolitical forecasting relies on sophisticated models analyzing diverse factors, not just data collection.Peter Enns' upcoming keynote will provide insights into the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Opinion | Why I Still Think Trump Will WinThe upcoming election is highly competitive, with both Harris and Trump having plausible pathways to victory.
Trump Is Still Solid Favorite to Win Presidency According to Nate SilverNate Silver's election model indicates Donald Trump as the favorite to win the Electoral College, although Kamala Harris is favored to win the popular vote.
Could there really be a hung parliament at the next UK general election?Local election results are not necessarily indicative of the outcome of a general election.