The regime of Bashar al-Assad has been deposed after a 13-year civil war, with the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leading the transition.
An exhaustive study of rebellions since 1900 reveals that traditional factors like duration of rebellion or foreign support do not significantly influence the sustainability of rebel governments.
Current chaos in Syria is compounded as various rebel factions and external powers such as Israel and Turkey vie for control and influence.
The critical insight from the research is that the chances for a stable government in Syria remain uncertain given the lack of decisive factors in previous cases.
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