Postmortems Are Bad at Predictions: Democrats May Just Need a Change' Election
Briefly

Every four years, the post-election fight seems to play out the same way. The party's center blames the activists for alienating swing voters, while the activists blame the center for failing to mobilize the base.
These debates do matter. They shape the strategy of the next midterm campaign, change policies supported by elected officials, and influence how ordinary voters cast their ballots in future presidential primaries.
In hindsight, post-election analyses often look bad. There may be more lessons for today's Democrats in the failure of past postmortems than in any analysis of Kamala Harris's campaign.
No matter what, pundits conclude that the party's way forward is to do exactly what that pundit has been arguing for all along. It's a cyclic pattern of blame and justification.
Read at www.nytimes.com
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