As Donald Trump turns to obscenity, racial disparagement and sexual innuendo to blunt Kamala Harris's surge in the polls, he faces a daunting obstacle: the intense hostility among Democrats to all things Republican.
Harris has consolidated support from key Democratic groups—the young, Black voters, women, Hispanics—who were lukewarm on President Biden. These voters share with their fellow Democrats a deep animosity toward the Republican Party.
The American electorate, as Lynn Vavreck, a political scientist at U.C.L.A., and her co-authors wrote, has calcified. Polarization doesn't just pull us apart; it holds coalitions together.
Since Biden's withdrawal from the race, Trump's standing in the polls has remained consistently in the range of 45 percent to 48 percent—a bloc of voters seemingly impervious to criticism of their chosen leader.
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