"Polymarkets April price milestone market has logged $32.3 million in total trading volume, with the $80,000 target drawing the most active attention at 31% odds and $3.7 million in volume."
"Traders are not buying the moonshot. They are betting against it, with bitcoin hitting $100,000 this month carrying less than 1% odds."
"On the bearish side of the April market, a drop to $65,000 is priced at 13% with $2.4 million in volume, indicating some risk awareness."
"Polymarket's end-of-2026 market tells a different story, with traders pricing bitcoin tapping $80,000 before December 31 at significant volume."
As of April 19, 2026, bitcoin is trading at $74,726, with prediction markets showing varied expectations. Polymarket indicates a 31% chance of bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April, while Kalshi traders assign an 18% probability of hitting $100,000 before July 2026. A $84,000 increase is favored at 60.7%, while a drop to $55,000 has a 39.3% chance. The market reflects skepticism about significant price increases, with traders betting against a moonshot scenario.
Read at news.bitcoin.com
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