JPMorgan Chase & Co. posits that the worst phase of the recent market correction has likely passed, as recession risks appear diminished. However, there's a divergence of opinions within the bank, with some analysts suggesting a 40% recession risk, while credit markets are increasingly optimistic. The outlook is complicated by the prospect of a global trade war spurred by ongoing tariffs, especially from the Trump administration, which could have adverse effects on the U.S. economy. Historical trends indicate regular market corrections, raising questions about whether the market's recent fast recovery is sustainable.
Leading investment bank JPMorgan Chase & Co. believes that the worst of the market correction is behind us, influenced by reduced recession risk.
According to Bloomberg, credit markets are showing a more optimistic outlook on U.S. recession risks compared to equity or rate markets, suggesting a shifting investor sentiment.
Analysts at J.P. Morgan express contrasting views on recession risks, with some elevating the likelihood to 40%, while others remain optimistic about market recovery.
The potential for a major global trade war looms due to significant tariffs, which may pose a threat to economic stability and influence market corrections.
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