In January 2025, Carl "Moon" Runefelt forecasted a significant financial crisis, predicting Bitcoin would serve as a safe haven amidst economic turmoil. Despite the prevailing market optimism with Bitcoin surpassing $100,000, his predictions were largely ignored. However, by April, as Bitcoin dropped to $76,000 and the S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline, his insights gained renewed attention. Runefelt attributed his predictions to patterns of interest rate cuts leading to recessions, compounded by high debt levels and market euphoria, suggesting an economic reset is imminent.
"Debts are rising alongside greed and euphoria in the stock market. The signs of a financial crisis are growing. I believe we will see a big financial meltdown... Bitcoin is the Noah's Ark in the economic flood that is coming. Get in the boat."
"Each time the US begins cutting interest rates after a period of raising them, a recession tends to follow. The chart is simple. Rate cuts, then a gray recession bar. Again and again."
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