Polymarket’s May bitcoin price market for “What price will bitcoin hit in May?” shows $21,471,305 in total trading volume as of May 19, 2026. The leading outcome assigns 79% probability that bitcoin trades below $75,000 at some point during May, with 23% for below $70,000 and 10% for above $85,000. Resolution triggers immediately using only Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, with a Yes outcome if a High reaches an upside target or a Low reaches a downside target between May 1 and May 31. Kalshi’s $150K bitcoin series has $33.9M volume and an 11% chance before January 2027. Myriad’s $84K vs. $55K market gives bitcoin a 76.7% chance of pumping first, with no expiration date set.
"Kalshi's $150K bitcoin series (KXBTCMAX150) drew $33.9M in volume, giving BTC only an 11% chance before January 2027. Myriad's $84K vs. $55K market gives bitcoin a 76.7% chance of pumping first, with no expiration date set."
Read at news.bitcoin.com
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