"Last year I did this exercise of picking five teams that would exceed expectations... only the Houston Rockets salvaged my effort."
"I made some tweaks to my prediction model last year that I thought would improve and simplify it... it was also dumber and missed on some important but subtle things that mattered."
"A year older and wiser, we'll try this again. I’m using BetMGM over-under totals for NBA wins for the coming season as a proxy for what the median expectation is for each team."
"Of all the projections I've seen, taking the over on Cleveland seems likely this coming season, which is a substantial uptick from their prior performance."
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