California's estimated voter turnout for the November 2024 election stands at 71%, marking the third lowest participation rate in 100 years of presidential elections. This figure indicates a significant decline from the 80.7% turnout in 2020, which was the highest in four decades. The noticeable drop in voter engagement draws attention to potential factors affecting participation, particularly given that over 1.5 million Californians did not cast their votes this year.
Nationwide, the 2024 General Election saw over 4 million fewer voters than in 2020, with California accounting for more than 1.5 million of these absences. Interestingly, Donald Trump is projected to win this presidential race against Kamala Harris by approximately 2 million votes, a notable swing from 2020, when he lost by nearly 7 million. This electoral shift raises questions about voter sentiment and engagement among certain demographics.
The anticipated final vote total in California is expected to reach 16,084,660, which would represent 71.2% of the state's 22,595,659 registered voters. This turnout percentage is slightly below the 71.9% seen in the dramatic 1920 election. A comparison with previous presidential elections highlights that only two elections, 2000 and 1996, resulted in lower turnout rates, spotlighting a significant trend in voter participation that warrants further scrutiny.
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