Tyler Allgeier has had a solid season, averaging 37 rushing yards per game, which is slightly above the 35.5 yard prop for the upcoming game against the Panthers. He has managed to surpass this rushing total in about 43.8% of his games, which suggests potential value for players betting on his performance this week. Additionally, the Panthers' defense has struggled against the run, providing an even more favorable context for Allgeier's chances to hit the over on his prop.
The Carolina Panthers have the worst rushing defense in the NFL, allowing an average of 176.9 yards per game, which could benefit not only Allgeier but other Falcons' rushing options as well. With the Falcons averaging 124.5 rushing yards per game and facing a bottom-ranked rushing defense, there is a potential for a heavily run-oriented game plan that might see Allgeier exceeding his rushing yards prop.
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